Showing posts with label long. Show all posts
Showing posts with label long. Show all posts

Friday, March 6, 2009

STAY LONG at 3/6/2009 close

For the 72-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares)

I will be out of town for at least a week, so I'm guessing I will not be able to post any predictions until Wednesday the 11th. Starting Monday 3/9/2009, any hypothetical investment dollars will be safely stowed in a money market account.

Here's the latest stats.


31 wins out of 58 attempts = 53% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 20% N/A

2009 YTD -3.2% N/A

20 days -19.8% 11.8%

10 days -14.7% 3.6%

5 days -12.0% 1.6%

1 day 8.29% 0.41%

I'll probably be doing some major brain surgery on the Forecast Monkey soon, at which time we may reset our stats and start afresh.

Again, these predictions are for entertainment purposes only. Please don't make real-life trades based on this silly speculative nonsense.

Thursday, March 5, 2009

BUY LONG at 3/5/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Sell any other holdings and buy Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Alas, due to technical difficulties, I was not able to make a prediction yesterday. For performance purposes, we assume that any hypothetical investors stuck with the last prediction made (sell short), and thus made out like bandits today.

No stats today. Maybe tomorrow.

Monday, March 2, 2009

STAY LONG at 3/2/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by dumping a gallon of saline into the Forecast Monkey's IV drip, then tickling him until he had "an accident" and finally measuring the viscosity of his evacuated fluids.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


30 wins out of 54 attempts = 56% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 30% N/A

2009 YTD 4.9% N/A

20 days -18.7% 15.7%

10 days -19.7% 5.7%

5 days -5.5% 2.9%

1 day -4.67% 0.57%

I am pleased to report the Forecast Monkey continues his impressive losing streak, and by today's close, I am hoping he will be in the negative for 2009. We had a long string of disappointments early this year as the Forecast Monkey inexplicably won over and over again, but the Forecast Monkey seems to be finally showing potential as the losing machine we knew he could be.

I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Friday, February 27, 2009

STAY LONG at 2/27/2009 close

For the 72-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by using the Forecast Monkey's body cavities for drug smuggling, then weighing the piles of cash that we got for our efforts.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


30 wins out of 53 attempts = 57% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 36% N/A

2009 YTD 10.0% N/A

20 days -9.0% 16.7%

10 days -16.1% 6.3%

5 days -3.1% 3.1%

1 day -3.14% 0.67%


I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Thursday, February 26, 2009

STAY LONG at 2/26/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by forcing the Forecast Monkey to perform degrading acts for an immature variety show, and measuring the resulting drop in his self-esteem.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


30 wins out of 52 attempts = 58% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 40% N/A

2009 YTD 13.6% N/A

20 days -12.4% 17.5%

10 days -11.9% 6.8%

5 days -2.2% 3.2%

1 day 2.08% 0.75%

I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Wednesday, February 25, 2009

BUY LONG at 2/25/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Sell any other holdings and buy Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by recording how much weight Grandma lost after the Forecast Monkey stole her taser and used it on her.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


29 wins out of 51 attempts = 57% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 37% N/A

2009 YTD 11.2% N/A

20 days -16.0% 18.5%

10 days -5.2% 7.3%

5 days -4.4% 3.3%

1 day 7.76% 0.72%


I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Monday, February 23, 2009

STAY LONG at 2/23/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by observing the Forecast Monkey's color changes after feeding him some white powder that came in an envelope with a fan letter from a trader that lost his shirt following these predictions.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


28 wins out of 49 attempts = 57% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 37% N/A

2009 YTD 11.0% N/A

20 days -16.4% 21.0%

10 days -10.9% 8.1%

5 days -15.0% 4.0%

1 day -2.23% 0.73%



I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Friday, February 20, 2009

STAY LONG at 2/20/2009 close

For the 72-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Stats will be updated next time.

Thursday, February 19, 2009

STAY LONG at 2/19/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by carefully measuring how high the Forecast Monkey jumped when startled by firecrackers under his bed.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


28 wins out of 47 attempts = 60% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 43% N/A

2009 YTD 16.1% N/A

20 days -1.9% 23.5%

10 days -2.5% 8.9%

5 days -9.9% 4.8%

1 day -0.24% 0.86%


I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

STAY LONG at 2/18/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by having the Forecast Monkey flip a coin for hours, then comparing the number of heads to the number of tails.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


28 wins out of 46 attempts = 61% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 44% N/A

2009 YTD 16.4% N/A

20 days 8.7% 24.4%

10 days -5.3% 9.2%

5 days -0.9% 5.2%

1 day -9.09% 0.88%

As you can see, yesterday erased a lot of gains the Forecast Monkey predictions accidentally made lately. Anyone dumb enough to follow his advice has been appropriately devastated.

I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

STAY LONG at 2/17/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by giving the Forecast Monkey a box of crayons and letting him loose in a room full of stock charts.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:

28 wins out of 45 attempts = 62% success rate
Timespan Return Average
Total 58% N/A
2009 YTD 28.0% N/A
20 days 21.2% 25.0%
10 days 4.0% 9.6%
5 days 8.7% 5.3%
1 day -1.99% 1.10%

I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Friday, February 13, 2009

STAY LONG at 2/13/2009 close

For the 72-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by putting the Forecast Monkey in a sensory deprivation chamber and measuring the length of time before he started having hallucinations.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


28 wins out of 44 attempts = 64% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 61% N/A

2009 YTD 30.6% N/A

20 days 24.0% 25.2%

10 days 1.3% 9.8%

5 days 4.8% 5.2%

1 day -0.39% 1.17%


I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Thursday, February 12, 2009

BUY LONG at 2/12/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Sell any other holdings and buy Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by observing the Forecast Monkey's behavior changes after he was forced to eat a diet consisting of nothing but KFC chicken for a week.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


28 wins out of 43 attempts = 65% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 62% N/A

2009 YTD 31.1% N/A

20 days 32.8% 25.3%

10 days 8.4% 10.1%

5 days 8.7% 5.2%

1 day 1.71% 1.21%


I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

BUY LONG at 2/10/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Sell any other holdings and buy Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by observing the Forecast Monkey as he tried to learn to play Tiddlywinks.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


26 wins out of 41 attempts = 63% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 45% N/A

2009 YTD 17.4% N/A

20 days 13.8% 24.7%

10 days -11.4% 10.4%

5 days -4.5% 5.1%

1 day -0.33% 0.99%


I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Wednesday, February 4, 2009

BUY LONG at 2/4/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Sell any other holdings and buy Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by pumping the Forecast Monkey full of estrogen and measuring the volume of his resulting lactation.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:

24 wins out of 37 attempts = 65% success rate
Timespan Return Average
Total 47% N/A
2009 YTD 19.1% N/A
20 days 29.9% 25.2%
10 days 0.6% 13.2%
5 days -8.2% 6.1%
1 day -3.13% 1.13%


I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Tuesday, February 3, 2009

STAY SHORT at 2/3/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says SELL the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabear fund or SDS shares).

Today's prediction was reached by renting out the Forecast Monkey as toddler birthday entertainment, and counting the resulting scratches and bruises found on all parties.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


24 wins out of 36 attempts = 67% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 52% N/A

2009 YTD 22.9% N/A

20 days 35.2% 24.9%

10 days 14.8% 13.7%

5 days -7.2% 6.5%

1 day -0.16% 1.25%

I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Monday, February 2, 2009

SELL SHORT at 2/2/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says SELL the S&P500 (Sell any other holdings and buy Ultrabear fund or SDS shares).

Today's prediction was reached by teaching the Forecast Monkey to tap dance and measuring the value of his collected tips after 24 straight hours of dancing on a street corner.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:

24 wins out of 35 attempts = 69% success rate
Timespan Return Average
Total 52% N/A
2009 YTD 23.1% N/A
20 days 26.9% 24.2%
10 days 16.5% 13.6%
5 days -8.1% 6.9%
1 day -4.50% 1.29%


I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Friday, January 30, 2009

STAY LONG at 1/30/2009 close

For the 72-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Continue to hold Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by giving the Forecast Monkey amphetamine pills (speed) , and measuring how long he stayed awake.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


24 wins out of 34 attempts = 71% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 59% N/A

2009 YTD 28.9% N/A

20 days 28.9% 24.1%

10 days 22.4% 13.5%

5 days -2.8% 7.4%

1 day 6.60% 1.46%


I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Thursday, January 29, 2009

BUY LONG at 1/29/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Sell any other holdings and buy Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by rubbing ten pieces of bubble gum into the Forecast Monkey's hair and carefully measuring the time it took him to get rid of it all.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:


23 wins out of 33 attempts = 70% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 49% N/A

2009 YTD 20.9% N/A

20 days 25.8% 23.7%

10 days 22.4% 13.1%

5 days -6.1% 7.8%

1 day -6.72% 1.30%

I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.

Thursday, January 22, 2009

BUY LONG at 1/22/2009 close

For the 24-hour period beginning 12:50 PM PST, Forecast Monkey says BUY the S&P500 (Sell any other holdings and buy Ultrabull fund or SSO shares).

Today's prediction was reached by observing the Forecast Monkey's artistic creations after giving him a can of spray paint and letting him loose in a racquetball court.

Statistics for the Forecast Monkey's predictions through the last market close:



21 wins out of 28 attempts = 75% success rate

Timespan Return Average

Total 59% N/A

2009 YTD 28.8% N/A

20 days 35.4% 18.2%

10 days 38.4% 8.5%

5 days 30.4% 6.1%

1 day 8.84% 1.75%

I beg of you not to use this silly forecast in real-life trading. These predictions are for ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY.